THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT & GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY

Askary Bozayeh, Fatemeh; Kavoosi-Kalashami, Mohammad

doi:10.22124/psug.2025.25573.1028

THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT & GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY

Document Type : Translation

Authors

¹ Responsible for Economic and Social Research and Agricultural Extension Department, Agricultural and Natural Resources Research Center of Guilan Province

² Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, University of Guilan, Rasht, Iran

10.22124/psug.2025.25573.1028

Abstract

The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 created an immediate shock to global markets.Prices for cereals and vegetable oils rose rapidly in expectation of disruptions to Ukraine’s harvests and to shipping through the Black Sea. The war exacerbated existing economic fragility and food insecurity caused by climate change, conflict, and COVID-19, and the reaction of the international community to spikes in fuel and fertilizer prices led to additional impacts on agricultural markets.For many countries, a serious food crisis seemed likely. In the face of this sudden shock, policymakers needed information and guidance. IFPRI, with support provided by USAID and FCDO, stepped up immediately with analysis of global markets and country-level analysis, providing both a picture of how this crisis would play out and how (and how not) to address the threat of growing food insecurity and rising prices.This work has drawn on IFPRI’s many years of research as well as its strong presence in many developing regions.Most importantly, IFPRI strove to get this information to stakeholders who were trying to make sense of the myriad implications of the Russia-Ukraine conflict — policymakers, the press, funding organizations, NGOs, and others. This book compiles 35 blogposts written over the past year — beginning the very day of the invasion — on Food and Fertilizer Price Trends.This book brings together IFPRI’s blogposts about the Ukraine crisis, written by IFPRI researchers and their

colleagues. They cover the broad range of impacts and policy responses to the crisis. It is our hope that these

will continue to inform the management of the present crisis and of future crises that disrupt our food systems

Graphical Abstract